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Trump
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Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
$2M vol.
100%
20+68%
40+
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
$12.4M vol.
4%
Enrichment of Uranium3%
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
$1.7M vol.
90%
December 3185%
August 31
Trump out as President by June 30?
$8.5M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$11.7M vol.
2%
Yes98%
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$4.7M vol.
46%
December 3128%
October 31
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$8.8M vol.
100%
No meeting by June 30<1%
Russia
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
$1.2M vol.
18%
Yes83%
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
$27.7M vol.
12%
December 312%
July 31
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$132.7K vol.
73%
July 3143%
July 10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$20.7M vol.
10%
Yes91%
No
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$16.6M vol.
21%
December 314%
July 31
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$939.1K vol.
95%
June 2495%
June 26
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$91.5M vol.
76%
Nicolás Maduro15%
Delcy Rodríguez
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$38.6M vol.
14%
Yes87%
No
Who will attend the NATO Summit?
$202K vol.
99%
Marco Rubio92%
Donald Trump
Fed Decision in October?
$90.8K vol.
59%
No change31%
25 bps increase
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
$70.4K vol.
30%
December 3115%
July 31
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
$168.8K vol.
98%
1.1m78%
1.2m
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$75.3K vol.
24%
July 317%
June 30
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
$4.1M vol.
2%
June 30<1%
June 12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
$49.9K vol.
91%
Yes11%
No
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$1.9M vol.
1%
Yes100%
No
Trump out as President before 2027?
$9.2M vol.
10%
Yes91%
No
