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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$24.3M vol.
83%
No change18%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in December?
$2.5M vol.
74%
25 bps increase24%
No changeFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.8M vol.
96%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$521.4K vol.
73%
Yes29%
NoWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$225.1K vol.
60%
Hike–Pause–Hike23%
Hike–Pause–PauseNo change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$20.5K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 15How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$342.7K vol.
22%
Below 4.7%11%
Below 4.6%Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$459.6K vol.
16%
December 31<1%
May 30How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$813.1K vol.
88%
5.3%64%
5.4%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.7M vol.
77%
July 2027 Meeting49%
April 2027 MeetingHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$150.7K vol.
80%
5.65%67%
5.70%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$72.5K vol.
19%
Below 4.50%13%
Below 4.45%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?
$6.6K vol.
64%
Below 4.95%63%
Below 4.92%How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$6.6K vol.
72%
Below 4.70%62%
Below 4.60%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$60.8K vol.
82%
5.10%41%
5.25%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
$5.5K vol.
96%
5.67%95%
5.70%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
$4.2K vol.
89%
Below 5.18%97%
Below 5.15%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
$4.6K vol.
89%
5.29%81%
5.32%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$5.2K vol.
79%
5.11%78%
5.08%Fed Decision in January?
$208.5K vol.
65%
No change32%
25 bps increaseHow high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$3.3K vol.
77%
4.89%74%
4.86%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
$2.1K vol.
81%
Below 5.52%69%
Below 5.55%