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Politik
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Presidential Election Winner 2028
$689.4M vol.
20%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Gavin Newsom
Fed Decision in September?
$37.5M vol.
73%
No change28%
25 bps increase
Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
$1.8M vol.
43%
160-17931%
180-199
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$17M vol.
68%
December 3154%
October 31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$4.7M vol.
8%
Yes93%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$22.3M vol.
<1%
August 31<1%
August 15
Elon Musk # tweets August 17 - August 19, 2026?
$733.9K vol.
99%
65-891%
90-114
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$20.7M vol.
72%
United Russia (ER)20%
New People (NL)
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$689.1M vol.
47%
J.D. Vance23%
Marco Rubio
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$328.7K vol.
97%
August 2294%
August 25
Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
$502.2K vol.
19%
180-19917%
200-219
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
$2.6M vol.
2%
Yes98%
No
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$10.1M vol.
48%
Democrats Sweep40%
R Senate, D House
Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
$127.4K vol.
19%
180-19919%
160-179
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$59M vol.
18%
Yes83%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$8.5M vol.
36%
Yes65%
No
Next French Presidential Election
$119.8M vol.
33%
Marine Le Pen26%
Édouard Philippe
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$7.2M vol.
21%
Yes81%
No
Trump out as President by August 31?
$1.6M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$32.4M vol.
53%
Gadi Eizenkot29%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$3.9M vol.
52%
Democratic Party50%
Republican Party
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
$3.7M vol.
86%
Magdalena Andersson11%
Ulf Kristersson
