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Politics
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Presidential Election Winner 2028
$638.1M vol.
20%
JD Vance15%
Gavin Newsom
Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?
$2.6M vol.
34%
220-23932%
240-259
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
21%
Gavin Newsom10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Fed Decision in July?
$17.5M vol.
74%
No change25%
25 bps increase
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$56.7M vol.
10%
December 315%
September 30
Elon Musk # tweets June 22 - June 24, 2026?
$1M vol.
90%
90-1149%
115-139
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$20.7M vol.
37%
Gadi Eizenkot37%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$664M vol.
37%
J.D. Vance21%
Marco Rubio
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$63.7M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
$14M vol.
98%
Andy Burnham<1%
Al Carns
Elon Musk # tweets June 23 - June 30, 2026?
$1.1M vol.
20%
220-23918%
240-259
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$7.2M vol.
56%
436%
5
Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?
$395K vol.
20%
180-19919%
200-219
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
$2.6M vol.
24%
Yes77%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$8.2M vol.
46%
Yes55%
No
Next French Presidential Election
$104.1M vol.
25%
Jordan Bardella20%
Édouard Philippe
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
$12.4M vol.
4%
Enrichment of Uranium3%
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$12.6M vol.
64%
United Russia (ER)32%
New People (NL)
Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
$1.7M vol.
70%
July 3156%
July 15
Trump out as President by June 30?
$8.5M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$11.6M vol.
3%
Yes98%
No
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$8M vol.
9%
Yes92%
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$4.7M vol.
47%
December 3128%
October 31
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
$8.8M vol.
100%
No meeting by June 30<1%
Russia
