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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$65.6M vol.

4%
December 31
2%
September 30
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$5.5M vol.

58%
SpaceX
42%
Anthropic
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.8M vol.

100%
↑3k
96%
↑3.5k
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 card icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$388.3K vol.

98%
October 31
93%
September 30
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$309.5K vol.

7%
Yes
95%
No
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES) card icon

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

$5.4K vol.

74%
1.38–1.41ºC
30%
1.42–1.45ºC
Precipitation in NYC in August? card icon

Precipitation in NYC in August?

$3.7K vol.

95%
>6"
<1%
3-4"
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$242.9K vol.

23%
Yes
78%
No
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$812.3K vol.

2%
Yes
99%
No
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

$7.3K vol.

70%
80-99
33%
100–119
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.3M vol.

42%
14–16
37%
17–19
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31? card icon

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

$10.3K vol.

14%
20,000+
100%
10,000+
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

$2.8K vol.

100%
2800+
99%
2825+
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.3M vol.

74%
1
24%
2
Precipitation in Seoul in August? card icon

Precipitation in Seoul in August?

$882 vol.

97%
<150mm
33%
300-350mm
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? card icon

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

$12.7K vol.

10%
Yes
91%
No
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...? card icon

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$48.5K vol.

69%
December 31, 2027
16%
June 30, 2027
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? card icon

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

67%
0
26%
1
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026? card icon

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

$2.5K vol.

73%
7.9 or below
11%
8.0 – 8.1
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

$10K vol.

91%
<425mm
12%
425-450mm
Precipitation in London in August? card icon

Precipitation in London in August?

$7.6K vol.

70%
<30mm
59%
30-40mm
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026? card icon

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$3.2K vol.

44%
Fewer than 20
40%
20 to 34
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? card icon

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

$196.1K vol.

2%
Yes
98%
No
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? card icon

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$139.6K vol.

14%
Yes
90%
No
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