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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.6M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 30
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.5M vol.
58%
SpaceX42%
Anthropic
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
100%
↑3k96%
↑3.5k
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$388.3K vol.
98%
October 3193%
September 30
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$309.5K vol.
7%
Yes95%
No
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
$5.4K vol.
74%
1.38–1.41ºC30%
1.42–1.45ºC
Precipitation in NYC in August?
$3.7K vol.
95%
>6"<1%
3-4"
Natural Disaster in 2026?
$242.9K vol.
23%
Yes78%
No
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$812.3K vol.
2%
Yes99%
No
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
$7.3K vol.
70%
80-9933%
100–119
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.3M vol.
42%
14–1637%
17–19
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
$10.3K vol.
14%
20,000+100%
10,000+
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
$2.8K vol.
100%
2800+99%
2825+
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.3M vol.
74%
124%
2
Precipitation in Seoul in August?
$882 vol.
97%
<150mm33%
300-350mm
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
$12.7K vol.
10%
Yes91%
No
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
$48.5K vol.
69%
December 31, 202716%
June 30, 2027
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$1.1M vol.
67%
026%
1
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
$2.5K vol.
73%
7.9 or below11%
8.0 – 8.1
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
$10K vol.
91%
<425mm12%
425-450mm
Precipitation in London in August?
$7.6K vol.
70%
<30mm59%
30-40mm
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
$3.2K vol.
44%
Fewer than 2040%
20 to 34
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
$196.1K vol.
2%
Yes98%
No
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$139.6K vol.
14%
Yes90%
No
