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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in July?
$17.6M vol.
75%
No change24%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$38.5M vol.
80%
0 (0 bps)15%
1 (25 bps)Fed Decision in September?
$733.6K vol.
57%
No change38%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in October?
$90.8K vol.
59%
No change31%
25 bps increaseFed rate hike in 2026?
$2.8M vol.
60%
Yes41%
NoFed decisions (Apr-Jul)
$74.8K vol.
74%
Pause–Pause–Pause25%
OtherFed rate hike by...?
$304K vol.
55%
October Meeting46%
September MeetingWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.5M vol.
34%
↑ 4.25%20%
↓ 3.25%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.6M vol.
29%
3.75%26%
4.0%Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$299.4K vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$218.4K vol.
29%
3.9%29%
3.7%Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$423.4K vol.
40%
December 31<1%
May 30How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$239K vol.
31%
4.8%15%
5.0%Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$109.3K vol.
8%
Yes93%
NoFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$10.7K vol.
48%
Other47%
Pause–Pause–PauseFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$529 vol.
69%
Other22%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
$7.7K vol.
62%
018%
1Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$18.2K vol.
17%
December 31<1%
June 30Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$4.1K vol.
3%
Yes98%
No