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Presidential Election Winner 2028
$689.5M vol.
21%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
Gavin NewsomFed Decision in September?
$38.3M vol.
71%
No change29%
25 bps increaseElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
$2.1M vol.
36%
200-21931%
180-199Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$4.9M vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$17.1M vol.
70%
December 3151%
October 31Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$20.8M vol.
72%
United Russia (ER)21%
New People (NL)US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$409.1K vol.
97%
August 2295%
August 25Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
$717.2K vol.
15%
260-27915%
220-239Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$689.1M vol.
47%
J.D. Vance23%
Marco RubioStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$22.3M vol.
<1%
August 31<1%
August 15US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
$2.6M vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoTrump out as President by August 31?
$1.7M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoElon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
$149.7K vol.
18%
180-19916%
200-219Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$10.1M vol.
48%
Democrats Sweep40%
R Senate, D HouseClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$7.2M vol.
23%
Yes78%
NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$59M vol.
18%
Yes83%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$8.6M vol.
35%
Yes66%
NoWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$32.4M vol.
58%
Gadi Eizenkot29%
Benjamin NetanyahuNext French Presidential Election
$119.9M vol.
33%
Marine Le Pen26%
Édouard PhilippeTrump out as President before 2027?
$10.8M vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
$345.6K vol.
2%
Yes98%
NoPutin out as President of Russia by...?
$21.1M vol.
13%
June 30, 20278%
December 31, 2026What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
$647.6K vol.
22%
Iran Reconstruction Funding10%
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)